How Unequal Is America?
What the numbers show, what they leave out, and what drives the gaps
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Start Here: Would You Rather?
Decide on each round before you read on. Then read the reply to each.
Measure: How Do We Know?
You may have heard that inequality in America has exploded, with the rich capturing almost all the gains. You may also have heard that the problem is exaggerated. Serious researchers make both claims, often using the same tax records. Much of the difference comes down to measurement: what counts as income, who counts as a household, and whether you look at one year or a lifetime.
1 What counts as income?
The best-known statistic comes from the Census Bureau’s “money income,” which counts pre-tax cash only. It leaves out taxes and most noncash help, such as Medicaid and food assistance. Because taxes fall mostly on higher earners and most aid goes to lower earners, leaving both out makes inequality look larger. Four U.S. measures compare this way:
| Measure | What it counts | Gini index |
|---|---|---|
| Census money income (2024) | Pre-tax cash: wages, interest, Social Security. Leaves out taxes and noncash benefits. | 0.488 |
| Census post-tax income (2024) | Money income minus taxes, plus tax credits. Still leaves out most noncash benefits. | 0.446 |
| CBO income before transfers and taxes (2022) | Market income plus social insurance such as Social Security and Medicare. | 0.525 |
| CBO income after transfers and taxes (2022) | Adds means-tested aid such as Medicaid and food assistance; subtracts federal taxes. | 0.434 |
The difference is large. In 2022, means-tested aid and federal taxes raised the average income of the lowest-income fifth of households from about $26,200 to $44,800. Measured with Census money income, the top fifth receives about 17 times the bottom fifth’s share. Using the Congressional Budget Office’s (CBO’s) averages, the top fifth’s income is about 16 times the bottom fifth’s before transfers and taxes, and about 7 times after.
A fair caution. More and more aid comes as noncash benefits: Medicaid and the Children’s Health Insurance Program grew from 9 percent of the bottom fifth’s pre-transfer income in 1979 to 48 percent in 2023. CBO counts Medicaid at what the government spends. One major study found low-income adults value Medicaid at about 20 to 50 cents per dollar spent on their behalf. Much of the rest pays for care they would have received anyway, often unpaid, so it also helps hospitals and others. Counting benefits at full cost may overstate how much they narrow the gap; leaving them out understates it.
2 Who is in a household?
Households are not alike. In 2024, the lowest-income fifth of households averaged 1.6 people and half an earner, and the head of household was 57 years old on average. The highest-income fifth averaged 3.2 people and 2.1 earners. Many bottom-fifth households are retirees or people living alone; many top-fifth households are two-paycheck families in their peak earning years. Careful researchers adjust for household size. CBO does, and it still finds that inequality rose after taxes and transfers, from a Gini of 0.352 in 1979 to 0.434 in 2022.
3 A snapshot or a movie?
Over a lifetime. A one-year snapshot treats the bottom fifth as a fixed group. It isn’t. A 22-year-old apprentice and a 55-year-old master electrician can be the same person at different points in life. Movement up and down the ladder shrinks lifetime gaps, but it offsets rising inequality only if mobility has also increased.
Across generations. A well-known study found the share of children earning more than their parents fell from about 90 percent for those born in 1940 to about 50 percent for those born in the early 1980s. Adjusting for smaller households, the same authors report about 60 percent. A critic who also used a different inflation measure and counted government cash aid estimates about 68 percent. Both agree the trend is down; they disagree about how far.
Moving up in rank. A different question is whether a child’s chances of climbing the ranks have changed. For children born from 1971 to 1993, they have not: the odds of moving up the income ladder, relative to others, stayed about the same. But the rungs have grown farther apart, so the family you are born into now makes a bigger difference in dollars. Each side of the debate can point to half of that finding.
By place. Where you grow up matters. Among the 50 largest metro areas, a child born into the bottom fifth had a 4.4 percent chance of reaching the top fifth in the Charlotte area, just up the road, the lowest of all. In San Jose, the chance was 12.9 percent. Areas with more upward mobility had less residential segregation, less income inequality, better schools, stronger community ties, and more two-parent families. Researchers on the left and right read that list differently.
4 The top 1 percent debate
Researchers using the same IRS records reach different answers about the share of income after taxes and transfers going to the top 1 percent:
| Who measured it | Start | End | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Piketty, Saez, and Zucman | 9% (1960) | 15% (2019) | +6 points |
| Auten and Splinter | 8% (1960) | 9% (2019) | +1 point |
| Congressional Budget Office | 7% (1979) | 14% (2022) | +7 points |
Why so different? Tax law is one reason. After the Tax Reform Act of 1986, many businesses began reporting profits on their owners’ personal returns instead of corporate returns, so top incomes on personal returns jumped even though some of that income had simply changed form. The teams also disagree about how to count unreported income, retirement savings, and the value of government spending such as roads and schools. Note that CBO starts in 1979, a low point for top shares, and does not try to count all national income, as the other two teams do.
Who are the rich? Mostly not tech founders or hedge-fund managers. Economists Owen Zidar and Eric Zwick find that the typical member of the top 1 percent owns an ordinary private business, such as a medical or dental practice, law firm, car dealership, distributor or chain of restaurants. About 3 million such owners are each worth at least $5 million. Together they hold roughly eight to ten times the wealth of the 400 richest Americans. Much of this wealth was built by founding or buying a business, and some was inherited. Because these owners live in nearly every community, they also carry local political weight. They help shape licensing rules, zoning and state laws that can protect existing businesses from new competitors.
5 Beyond income: wealth and health
- Wealth is far more concentrated than income. In mid-2026, the wealthiest 1 percent of households held 32.5 percent of household net worth, up from 22.8 percent in 1989. The bottom half held 2.3 percent. Two cautions: young people naturally have little wealth, and these figures leave out the value of future Social Security benefits, a major asset for middle- and lower-income families.
- Health tracks income. From 2001 to 2014, the richest 1 percent of men lived about 14.6 years longer than the poorest 1 percent; for women the gap was 10.1 years. The gap widened over that period. Life expectancy for low-income people varied widely from place to place and was linked to health behaviors such as smoking.
6 The gap or the floor?
Inequality measures the distance between rungs on the ladder. Poverty measures how many people stand below a line, and where that line is drawn matters.
- Relative lines move with the average. The European Union counts people as at risk of poverty if their income is below 60 percent of their country’s median. Under a line like this, poverty falls only if the bottom gains faster than the middle, even when everyone is getting richer.
- The official U.S. line is fixed. It was set in the 1960s at three times the cost of a minimum food diet and is updated only for inflation. In 2025, 10.2 percent of Americans were below it.
- A broader measure counts more. The Census Bureau’s Supplemental Poverty Measure counts taxes and noncash aid, and it sets its line based on what families recently spent on food, clothing, shelter, and utilities, so the line rises as living standards rise. It found 13.1 percent in poverty in 2025. Social Security alone kept 28.8 million people above the line.
- What people consume. Two economists who measure poverty by what households spend, with a different inflation adjustment, found it fell from 13.0 percent in 1980 to 2.8 percent in 2018, using the 1980 standard of living. Over the same years the official rate fell only 1.2 points. Using a 2015 standard, it fell from 32.9 to 10.8 percent. Where the line is drawn changes the level, but by either standard the decline is large.
Explain: What Drives the Gaps?
Researchers point to several causes that can work at the same time. They disagree about how much each one matters.
| Explanation | The argument | The other side |
|---|---|---|
| Technology and skills | Computers raised the value of workers who can use them and replaced many routine middle-skill jobs. The pay gap between college and high school graduates rose sharply after 1980. | This is a reward for skills customers value, and the answer is more people gaining skills. Others ask why other rich countries with the same technology saw smaller increases. |
| Trade | Rising imports from China in the 1990s and 2000s cost many manufacturing jobs, and the losses were concentrated in particular towns. | Trade also lowered prices for consumers, including lower-income families, and supported jobs in other industries. The harder question is how to help the places that lost. |
| Superstar firms | Sales shifted toward a few very large firms in many industries, and those firms pay a smaller share of their revenue to workers. | Many of these firms won by being more productive and serving customers better. Whether they now use market power to hold rivals back is debated. |
| Fewer unions | Union membership fell sharply, and unions once raised pay for less-educated workers. | Unions also limited entry and raised costs, and their decline partly reflects a shift from factory to service jobs. |
| Who marries whom | More college graduates marry each other, so two-earner, high-income households become more common. | One major study found this matters for the level of inequality but explains little of its rise. |
| Inherited wealth | Economist Thomas Piketty argues that when the return on wealth outpaces economic growth, inherited fortunes grow faster than earned incomes, so wealth concentrates over time. | Among the 400 richest Americans, the share who grew up wealthy fell from 60 percent in 1982 to 32 percent in 2011, and the share who were the first in their family to run their business rose from 40 to 69 percent. |
| Rules that protect insiders | State licensing grew from under 5 percent of workers in the 1950s to about 25 percent by 2008. Strict zoning raises housing costs in high-wage cities. Both can shield insiders and keep newcomers out. | Licensing can protect safety, and zoning reflects local choices. Critics on the left and right see these rules as unearned gains for those already inside. |
Where the Evidence Points
The Normative Question
Measurement tells us what is happening, and research can test explanations. Neither can tell us what to care about. Few people argue for equal outcomes. People differ in skills, effort, hours, age, and willingness to take risks, and some differences come from circumstances no one chooses, like the family or neighborhood you’re born into. The real debate is how much inequality is too much, and whether it was earned. Thoughtful people judge it in different ways:
Each view leads to different policies, and you can hold more than one. Which did you use in Round 1?
Key Terms in Plain Words
- Gini index
- A 0-to-1 summary of inequality. 0 means equal incomes; 1 means one household has it all.
- Quintile
- One-fifth of households, ranked by income.
- Money income
- The Census Bureau’s main measure: pre-tax cash income, before most government benefits.
- Market income
- Income earned in the market: wages, business income, interest, dividends, and capital gains.
- Transfer payments
- Government payments to households, in cash (Social Security) or in kind (Medicaid, food aid).
- Progressive tax
- A tax that takes a larger share of income as income rises.
- Income mobility
- Movement up or down the income ladder over a lifetime or across generations.
- Wealth (net worth)
- What a household owns, such as homes, savings, and stocks, minus what it owes.
- Absolute poverty line
- A fixed income standard, adjusted only for inflation.
- Relative poverty line
- A line set as a share of typical income, so it rises as incomes rise.
- Absolute mobility
- Earning more than your parents did, after adjusting for inflation.
- Relative mobility
- Moving up or down the income ranks compared with others your age.
- Positional good
- Something whose value depends on having more than others, like a home in a top school district.
- Rent-seeking
- Trying to gain income through political favors or rules that limit competition, rather than by creating value.
Sources
- Figures in this sheet come from the sources below, current as of late October 2026.
- Start Here
- Solnick and Hemenway, “Is More Always Better? A Survey on Positional Concerns,” Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 1998 doi.org
- Measure: Gini And What Counts As Income
- Congressional Budget Office, The Distribution of Household Income in 2021 (explains the Gini rule of thumb) cbo.gov
- World Bank, Gini index (SI.POV.GINI), World Development Indicators data.worldbank.org
- U.S. Census Bureau, Income in the United States: 2024, Table B-4 www2.census.gov
- Congressional Budget Office, The Distribution of Household Income, 2022 cbo.gov
- Congressional Budget Office, data underlying figures for The Distribution of Household Income, 2022 cbo.gov
- Congressional Budget Office, The Distribution of Household Income, 2023 cbo.gov
- Finkelstein, Hendren, and Luttmer, “The Value of Medicaid: Interpreting Results from the Oregon Health Insurance Experiment,” Journal of Political Economy, 2019 journals.uchicago.edu
- MIT News, summary of the value-of-Medicaid study, 2019 news.mit.edu
- Households, Mobility, And Place
- Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Expenditure Surveys, quintiles of income before taxes, 2024 (Table 1101) bls.gov
- Chetty and coauthors, “The Fading American Dream: Trends in Absolute Income Mobility Since 1940,” Science, 2017 economics.mit.edu
- Winship, Economic Mobility in America: A State-of-the-Art Primer, Archbridge Institute, 2017 archbridgeinstitute.org
- Chetty, Hendren, Kline, Saez, and Turner, “Is the United States Still a Land of Opportunity? Recent Trends in Intergenerational Mobility,” American Economic Review: Papers & Proceedings, 2014 eml.berkeley.edu
- Chetty, Hendren, Kline, and Saez, “Where Is the Land of Opportunity? The Geography of Intergenerational Mobility in the United States,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2014 academic.oup.com
- The Gap Or The Floor: Measuring Poverty
- Eurostat, Glossary: At-risk-of-poverty rate ec.europa.eu
- U.S. Census Bureau, Poverty in the United States: 2025 (P60-290) www2.census.gov
- Meyer and Sullivan, Annual Report on U.S. Consumption Poverty: 2018, American Enterprise Institute aei.org
- The Top 1 Percent Debate
- Gale, Sabelhaus, and Thorpe, “Measuring Income Inequality: A Primer on the Debate,” Brookings Institution brookings.edu
- Auten and Splinter, “Income Inequality in the United States: Extensions and Updates,” 2025 davidsplinter.com
- Who Are The Rich?
- Owen Zidar and Eric Zwick, The Everywhere Millionaire: Who Is Really Rich in America and How They Got There, Henry Holt, 2026 (publisher’s page) us.macmillan.com
- Owen Zidar and Eric Zwick, “Krugman Is the GOAT. But Even GOATs Have Blind Spots,” The Everywhere Millionaire (Substack), November 11, 2026 (estimate of more than $63 trillion for Everywhere Millionaires) everywheremillionaire.substack.com
- Yale Law School, “Economist Eric Zwick on Book ‘The Everywhere Millionaire,’” November 2026 (about 3 million owners worth at least $5 million; close to 10 times the Forbes 400; officeholding) law.yale.edu
- Owen Zidar and Eric Zwick, “Everywhere Millionaires, Everywhere? Evidence from the UK, Germany, and Sweden,” The Everywhere Millionaire (Substack), November 2026 (industries of top earners) everywheremillionaire.substack.com
- Owen Zidar and Eric Zwick, “Launch Day for Everywhere Millionaire!” The Everywhere Millionaire (Substack), 2026 (founding, buying, and inheriting businesses) everywheremillionaire.substack.com
- Forbes, “The Forbes 400: The Richest People in America,” 2026 (combined net worth $8 trillion as of September 4, 2026) forbes.com
- Wealth, Health, And Pay
- Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Distributional Financial Accounts federalreserve.gov
- Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED), share of net worth held by the top 1 percent (WFRBST01134) fred.stlouisfed.org
- Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED), share of net worth held by the bottom 50 percent (WFRBSB50215) fred.stlouisfed.org
- Chetty and coauthors, “The Association Between Income and Life Expectancy in the United States, 2001–2014,” JAMA, 2016 pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
- Bureau of Labor Statistics, “Understanding the Labor Productivity and Compensation Gap,” Beyond the Numbers, 2017 bls.gov
- Explain: What Drives The Gaps
- Autor, “Skills, Education, and the Rise of Earnings Inequality Among the ‘Other 99 Percent,’” Science, 2014 science.org
- Autor, Dorn, and Hanson, “The China Syndrome: Local Labor Market Effects of Import Competition in the United States,” American Economic Review, 2013 aeaweb.org
- Autor, Dorn, Katz, Patterson, and Van Reenen, “The Fall of the Labor Share and the Rise of Superstar Firms,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2020 academic.oup.com
- Farber, Herbst, Kuziemko, and Naidu, “Unions and Inequality over the Twentieth Century,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2021 academic.oup.com
- Eika, Mogstad, and Zafar, “Educational Assortative Mating and Household Income Inequality,” Journal of Political Economy, 2019 journals.uchicago.edu
- Piketty, “About Capital in the Twenty-First Century,” American Economic Review: Papers & Proceedings, 2015 aeaweb.org
- Kaplan and Rauh, “It’s the Market: The Broad-Based Rise in the Return to Top Talent,” Journal of Economic Perspectives, 2013 aeaweb.org
- Council of Economic Advisers and others, Occupational Licensing: A Framework for Policymakers, 2015 obamawhitehouse.archives.gov
- Council of Economic Advisers, “Barriers to Shared Growth: The Case of Land Use Regulation and Economic Rents,” 2015 obamawhitehouse.archives.gov
- Do Freer Economies Have More Inequality?
- Robert Lawson, Vincent Miozzi, and Meg Tuszynski, “Economic Freedom & Inequality: A Systematic Review of the Evidence,” Eastern Economic Journal 52 (2026): 503–514 (authors at SMU’s Bridwell Institute for Economic Freedom, market-oriented) doi.org
- Robert Lawson, Vincent Miozzi, and Meg Tuszynski, “Economic Freedom and Growth, Income, Investment, and Inequality: A Quantitative Summary of the Literature,” Southern Economic Journal 90, no. 4 (2024): 1099–1135 doi.org
- Jonathan D. Ostry, Prakash Loungani, and Davide Furceri, “Neoliberalism: Oversold?” Finance & Development 53, no. 2, International Monetary Fund, June 2016 imf.org
- The Normative Question
- Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy, “Egalitarianism” (Rawls’s difference principle, Frankfurt’s sufficiency view, and relational equality) plato.stanford.edu
- Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy, “Robert Nozick’s Political Philosophy.” plato.stanford.edu
- The China Shock Debate
- Kirill Borusyak, Peter Hull, and Xavier Jaravel, “Quasi-Experimental Shift-Share Research Designs,” Review of Economic Studies 89, no. 1 (2022) arxiv.org
- David H. Autor, David Dorn, and Gordon H. Hanson, “On the Persistence of the China Shock,” Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Fall 2021 (NBER Working Paper 29401) nber.org
- Joseph Francis, “Whimsy and Fragility in the ‘China Shock’ Narrative,” Econ Journal Watch 23, no. 2 (September 2026) econjwatch.org
- Podcasts (Econtalk, Library Of Economics And Liberty, With Transcripts)
- EconTalk, “Revisiting the China Shock (with Joseph Francis),” hosted by Russ Roberts, November 2, 2026 econtalk.org